Newcastle United v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2025–26
NewcastleNewcastle United
Osula 12'Burn 24'Barnes 90+5'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 2.8 to 1.4
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Hinshelwood 61'
- Date Saturday, May 2, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 2. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 41%, draw 26%, Brighton win 33%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Brighton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||