Newcastle United v Chelsea, Premier League 2025–26
NewcastleNewcastle United
Woltemade 4', 20'
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 1.8 to 1.4
ChelseaChelsea
James 49'Pedro 66'
- Date Saturday, December 20, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 20. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 43%, draw 24%, Chelsea win 33%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Chelsea | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||