Newcastle United v Everton, Premier League 2025–26
NewcastleNewcastle United
Ramsey 32'Murphy 82'
Final score 2 to 3
Expected goals 1.2 to 1.7
EvertonEverton
Branthwaite 19'Beto 34'Barry 83'
- Date Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 28. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 53%, draw 26%, Everton win 21%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Everton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.7 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.7 | ||