Newcastle United v Liverpool, Premier League 2025–26
NewcastleNewcastle United
Guimarães 57'Osula 88'
Final score 2 to 3
Expected goals 1.0 to 0.8
LiverpoolLiverpool
Gravenberch 35'Ekitike 46'Ngumoha 90+10'
- Date Monday, August 25, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 25. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Newcastle win 34%, draw 22%, Liverpool win 44%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 25. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Liverpool | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||