Newcastle United v Manchester City, Premier League 2025–26
NewcastleNewcastle United
Barnes 63', 70'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.3 to 2.2
Man CityManchester City
Dias 68'
- Date Saturday, November 22, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 22. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Newcastle win 34%, draw 26%, Man City win 40%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.2 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||