Newcastle United v Manchester United, Premier League 2025–26
NewcastleNewcastle United
Gordon 45+6' penaltyOsula 90'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 2.4 to 1.0
Man UnitedManchester United
Casemiro 45+9'
- Date Wednesday, March 4, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 42%, draw 25%, Man United win 33%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Man United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||