Newcastle United v Nottingham Forest, Premier League 2025–26
NewcastleNewcastle United
Guimarães 58'Woltemade 84' penalty
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 3.2 to 0.2
Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest
- Date Sunday, October 5, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 5. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 59%, draw 23%, Nott'm Forest win 18%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Nott'm Forest | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.2 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.1 | ||