Newcastle United v Sunderland, Premier League 2025–26
NewcastleNewcastle United
Gordon 10'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 1.5 to 2.7
SunderlandSunderland
Talbi 57'Brobbey 90'
- Date Sunday, March 22, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 22. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 57%, draw 25%, Sunderland win 18%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Sunderland | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.7 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 0.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.0 | ||