Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa, Premier League 2025–26
Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest
Williams 38'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.3 to 1.2
Aston VillaAston Villa
Murillo 23' (OG)
- Date Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Nott'm Forest win 34%, draw 29%, Aston Villa win 37%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Nott'm Forest | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||