Nottingham Forest v Burnley, Premier League 2025–26
Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest
Gibbs-White 62', 69', 77'Jesus 90+8'
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 1.4 to 0.3
BurnleyBurnley
Flemming 45+2'
- Date Sunday, April 19, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 19. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Nott'm Forest favored. Nott'm Forest win 56%, draw 25%, Burnley win 19%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Nott'm Forest | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.3 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||