Sunderland v Aston Villa, Premier League 2025–26
SunderlandSunderland
Isidor 75'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.4 to 0.8
Aston VillaAston Villa
Cash 67'
- Date Sunday, September 21, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Sunderland win 33%, draw 29%, Aston Villa win 38%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Sunderland | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||