Arsenal v AFC Bournemouth
Must watchRated 45 of 100 on quality and stakes, top 10% of past matches rated as far ahead.
Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 35%, a loss to 21%.
- Date
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 57%, draw 25%, Bournemouth win 18%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Arsenal and Bournemouth, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Arsenal 1st, Bournemouth 7th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Arsenal 24, Bournemouth 12, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Arsenal 12, Bournemouth 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Arsenal 1.79, Bournemouth 1.67, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Arsenal 0.73, Bournemouth 1.11, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Arsenal >99%, Bournemouth 26%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Bournemouth 0 | Bournemouth 1 | Bournemouth 2 | Bournemouth 3 | Bournemouth 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal 0 | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 1 | 11% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 2 | 11% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 3 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 4 | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 |
Odds by result
| Result | ArsenalTitle | BournemouthChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 80% | 26% |
| Arsenal win | , up 4 points84% | , down 5 points21% |
| Draw | , down 3 points77% | , up 2 points28% |
| Bournemouth win | , down 6 points74% | , up 9 points35% |