Arsenal v Brentford
Top qualityQuality 61 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.
Arsenal is 1st by rating, Brentford 7th; Arsenal is the week's heaviest favorite.
- Date
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 63%, draw 22%, Brentford win 15%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Arsenal and Brentford, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Arsenal 1st, Brentford 6th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Arsenal 24, Brentford 14, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Arsenal 12, Brentford 8, league median 8 |
| Offense | Arsenal 1.79, Brentford 1.63, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Arsenal 0.73, Brentford 1.25, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Arsenal >99%, Brentford 15%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Brentford 0 | Brentford 1 | Brentford 2 | Brentford 3 | Brentford 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal 0 | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 1 | 10% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 2 | 11% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 3 | 8% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 4 | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 |
Odds by result
| Result | ArsenalTitle | BrentfordChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 80% | 15% |
| Arsenal win | , up 3 points83% | , down 2 points13% |
| Draw | , down 3 points77% | , up 3 points18% |
| Brentford win | , down 7 points73% | , up 6 points21% |