Skip to content

Arsenal v Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton won 3–0 when they met in September.

  • Date

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 56%, draw 25%, Brighton win 19%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Arsenal and Brighton, against the league median
PositionArsenal 1st, Brighton 3rd, league median 10.5th
PointsArsenal 24, Brighton 19, league median 11
Points, last 5Arsenal 12, Brighton 12, league median 8
OffenseArsenal 1.79, Brighton 1.74, league median 1.45
DefenseArsenal 0.73, Brighton 1.09, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsArsenal >99%, Brighton 79%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Arsenal goals down, Brighton goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.
Brighton 0Brighton 1Brighton 2Brighton 3Brighton 4
Arsenal 07%5%3%1%<1%
Arsenal 111%12%5%2%<1%
Arsenal 210%10%5%1%<1%
Arsenal 36%6%3%1%<1%
Arsenal 43%3%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Arsenal and Brighton sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
4Chelsea29+416

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultArsenalTitleBrightonChampions League
Now80%79%
Arsenal win, up 4 points84%, down 3 points76%
Draw, down 2 points78%, no change79%
Brighton win, down 7 points73%, up 7 points86%