Arsenal v Crystal Palace
A win cuts Crystal Palace's chances of going down to 48%; a loss raises them to 63%.
- Date
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 76%, draw 16%, Crystal Palace win 8%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Arsenal and Crystal Palace, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Arsenal 1st, Crystal Palace 18th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Arsenal 24, Crystal Palace 7, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Arsenal 12, Crystal Palace 4, league median 8 |
| Offense | Arsenal 1.79, Crystal Palace 1.33, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Arsenal 0.73, Crystal Palace 1.55, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Arsenal >99%, Crystal Palace <1%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Crystal Palace 0 | Crystal Palace 1 | Crystal Palace 2 | Crystal Palace 3 | Crystal Palace 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal 0 | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 1 | 9% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 2 | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 3 | 10% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 4 | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 |
Odds by result
| Result | ArsenalTitle | Crystal PalaceRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 80% | 61% |
| Arsenal win | , up 3 points83% | , up 2 points63% |
| Draw | , down 5 points75% | , down 4 points57% |
| Crystal Palace win | , down 8 points72% | , down 13 points48% |