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Arsenal v Ipswich Town

A win cuts Ipswich's chances of going down to 22%; a loss raises them to 38%.

  • Date

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 77%, draw 15%, Ipswich win 8%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Arsenal and Ipswich, against the league median
PositionArsenal 1st, Ipswich 13th, league median 10.5th
PointsArsenal 24, Ipswich 11, league median 11
Points, last 5Arsenal 12, Ipswich 5, league median 8
OffenseArsenal 1.79, Ipswich 1.48, league median 1.45
DefenseArsenal 0.73, Ipswich 1.69, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsArsenal >99%, Ipswich <1%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Arsenal goals down, Ipswich goals across. The most likely is 2–0 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 14%.
Ipswich 0Ipswich 1Ipswich 2Ipswich 3Ipswich 4
Arsenal 03%2%1%<1%<1%
Arsenal 17%7%3%1%<1%
Arsenal 211%9%4%1%<1%
Arsenal 310%8%3%1%<1%
Arsenal 47%5%2%1%<1%

Table

Where Arsenal and Ipswich sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
12Newcastle30−211
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultArsenalTitleIpswichRelegation
Now80%36%
Arsenal win, up 2 points82%, up 2 points38%
Draw, down 6 points74%, down 2 points34%
Ipswich win, down 7 points73%, down 14 points22%