Arsenal v Liverpool
Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 60%, a loss drops them to 45%.
- Date
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 56%, draw 25%, Liverpool win 19%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Arsenal and Liverpool, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Arsenal 1st, Liverpool 5th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Arsenal 24, Liverpool 15, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Arsenal 12, Liverpool 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Arsenal 1.79, Liverpool 1.66, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Arsenal 0.73, Liverpool 1.08, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Arsenal >99%, Liverpool 49%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Liverpool 0 | Liverpool 1 | Liverpool 2 | Liverpool 3 | Liverpool 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal 0 | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 1 | 11% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 2 | 11% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 3 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Arsenal 4 | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 |
Odds by result
| Result | ArsenalTitle | LiverpoolChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 80% | 49% |
| Arsenal win | , up 5 points85% | , down 4 points45% |
| Draw | , down 3 points77% | , no change49% |
| Liverpool win | , down 8 points72% | , up 11 points60% |