Arsenal v Newcastle United

ArsenalArsenal

10:00 AM ET

NewcastleNewcastle United

Arsenal is the week's heaviest favorite.

• Date Saturday, January 23

Tale of the tape

	Arsenal and Newcastle, against the league medianArsenalNewcastle
Position	Arsenal 1st, Newcastle 12th, league median 10.5th1st12th
Points	Arsenal 24, Newcastle 11, league median 112411
Points, last 5	Arsenal 12, Newcastle 6, league median 8126
Offense	Arsenal 1.79, Newcastle 1.46, league median 1.451.791.46
Defense	Arsenal 0.73, Newcastle 1.36, league median 1.240.731.36
Champions League odds	Arsenal >99%, Newcastle 2%, league median 2%>99%2%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Arsenal goals down, Newcastle goals across. The most likely is 2–0 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 7%.

		Newcastle goals
		Newcastle 0	Newcastle 1	Newcastle 2	Newcastle 3	Newcastle 4
Arsenal goals	Arsenal 0	6%	3%	2%	<1%	<1%
	Arsenal 1	10%	9%	3%	1%	<1%
	Arsenal 2	12%	10%	4%	1%	<1%
	Arsenal 3	9%	7%	3%	1%	<1%
	Arsenal 4	5%	4%	2%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Arsenal and Newcastle sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
1	Arsenal	29	+9	24	>99%
2	Man City	29	+10	21	90%
…
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	3%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	2%
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	<1%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	ArsenalTitle	NewcastleRelegation
Now	80%	7%
Arsenal win	, up 3 points83%	, up 2 points9%
Draw	, down 5 points75%	, down 2 points5%
Newcastle win	, down 6 points74%	, down 3 points4%