Arsenal v Nottingham Forest

ArsenalArsenal

10:00 AM ET

Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest

Arsenal is the week's heaviest favorite.

• Date Saturday, May 15

Tale of the tape

	Arsenal and Nott'm Forest, against the league medianArsenalNott'm Forest
Position	Arsenal 1st, Nott'm Forest 19th, league median 10.5th1st19th
Points	Arsenal 24, Nott'm Forest 6, league median 11246
Points, last 5	Arsenal 12, Nott'm Forest 1, league median 8121
Offense	Arsenal 1.79, Nott'm Forest 1.28, league median 1.451.791.28
Defense	Arsenal 0.73, Nott'm Forest 1.23, league median 1.240.731.23
Champions League odds	Arsenal >99%, Nott'm Forest <1%, league median 2%>99%<1%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Arsenal goals down, Nott'm Forest goals across. The most likely is 2–0 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 5%.

		Nott'm Forest goals
		Nott'm Forest 0	Nott'm Forest 1	Nott'm Forest 2	Nott'm Forest 3	Nott'm Forest 4
Arsenal goals	Arsenal 0	7%	4%	2%	<1%	<1%
	Arsenal 1	13%	10%	3%	1%	<1%
	Arsenal 2	13%	9%	3%	1%	<1%
	Arsenal 3	9%	6%	2%	1%	<1%
	Arsenal 4	4%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Arsenal and Nott'm Forest sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
1	Arsenal	29	+9	24	>99%
2	Man City	29	+10	21	90%
…
18	Crystal Palace	29	−12	7	<1%
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	<1%
20	Sunderland	29	−10	5	<1%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	ArsenalTitle	Nott'm ForestRelegation
Now	80%	29%
Arsenal win	, up 3 points83%	, up 2 points31%
Draw	, down 4 points76%	, down 3 points26%
Nott'm Forest win	, down 7 points73%	, down 10 points19%