Arsenal v Sunderland

ArsenalArsenal

11:00 AM ET

SunderlandSunderland

A win cuts Sunderland's chances of going down to 42%; a loss raises them to 58%.

• Date Saturday, March 20

Tale of the tape

	Arsenal and Sunderland, against the league medianArsenalSunderland
Position	Arsenal 1st, Sunderland 20th, league median 10.5th1st20th
Points	Arsenal 24, Sunderland 5, league median 11245
Points, last 5	Arsenal 12, Sunderland 1, league median 8121
Offense	Arsenal 1.79, Sunderland 1.17, league median 1.451.791.17
Defense	Arsenal 0.73, Sunderland 1.31, league median 1.240.731.31
Champions League odds	Arsenal >99%, Sunderland <1%, league median 2%>99%<1%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Arsenal goals down, Sunderland goals across. The most likely is 2–0 at 14%. The chance either side scores five or more is 7%.

		Sunderland goals
		Sunderland 0	Sunderland 1	Sunderland 2	Sunderland 3	Sunderland 4
Arsenal goals	Arsenal 0	7%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%
	Arsenal 1	13%	9%	3%	1%	<1%
	Arsenal 2	14%	9%	3%	1%	<1%
	Arsenal 3	10%	6%	2%	<1%	<1%
	Arsenal 4	5%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Arsenal and Sunderland sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
1	Arsenal	29	+9	24	>99%
2	Man City	29	+10	21	90%
…
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	<1%
20	Sunderland	29	−10	5	<1%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	ArsenalTitle	SunderlandRelegation
Now	80%	55%
Arsenal win	, up 3 points83%	, up 3 points58%
Draw	, down 4 points76%	, down 2 points53%
Sunderland win	, down 7 points73%	, down 13 points42%