Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur

ArsenalArsenal

10:00 AM ET

TottenhamTottenham Hotspur

Arsenal is the week's heaviest favorite.

• Date Saturday, May 1

Tale of the tape

	Arsenal and Tottenham, against the league medianArsenalTottenham
Position	Arsenal 1st, Tottenham 8th, league median 10.5th1st8th
Points	Arsenal 24, Tottenham 12, league median 112412
Points, last 5	Arsenal 12, Tottenham 10, league median 81210
Offense	Arsenal 1.79, Tottenham 1.34, league median 1.451.791.34
Defense	Arsenal 0.73, Tottenham 1.21, league median 1.240.731.21
Champions League odds	Arsenal >99%, Tottenham 2%, league median 2%>99%2%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Arsenal goals down, Tottenham goals across. The most likely is 2–0 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 5%.

		Tottenham goals
		Tottenham 0	Tottenham 1	Tottenham 2	Tottenham 3	Tottenham 4
Arsenal goals	Arsenal 0	8%	4%	2%	<1%	<1%
	Arsenal 1	13%	10%	4%	1%	<1%
	Arsenal 2	13%	10%	3%	1%	<1%
	Arsenal 3	8%	6%	2%	1%	<1%
	Arsenal 4	4%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Arsenal and Tottenham sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
1	Arsenal	29	+9	24	>99%
2	Man City	29	+10	21	90%
…
7	Bournemouth	29	+1	12	26%
8	Tottenham	29	0	12	2%
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	4%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	ArsenalTitle	TottenhamRelegation
Now	80%	6%
Arsenal win	, up 3 points83%	, up 1 point7%
Draw	, down 3 points77%	, no change6%
Tottenham win	, down 8 points72%	, down 3 points3%