Aston Villa v Coventry City

Aston VillaAston Villa

10:00 AM ET

CoventryCoventry City

Aston Villa is 4 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 2%.

• Date Saturday, April 24

Tale of the tape

	Aston Villa and Coventry, against the league medianAston VillaCoventry
Position	Aston Villa 9th, Coventry 16th, league median 10.5th9th16th
Points	Aston Villa 12, Coventry 9, league median 11129
Points, last 5	Aston Villa 11, Coventry 9, league median 8119
Offense	Aston Villa 1.44, Coventry 1.39, league median 1.451.441.39
Defense	Aston Villa 1.23, Coventry 1.40, league median 1.241.231.40
Champions League odds	Aston Villa 4%, Coventry <1%, league median 2%4%<1%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Aston Villa goals down, Coventry goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 5%.

		Coventry goals
		Coventry 0	Coventry 1	Coventry 2	Coventry 3	Coventry 4
Aston Villa goals	Aston Villa 0	5%	5%	4%	2%	1%
	Aston Villa 1	8%	11%	7%	3%	1%
	Aston Villa 2	7%	10%	6%	3%	1%
	Aston Villa 3	5%	6%	4%	2%	1%
	Aston Villa 4	2%	3%	2%	1%	<1%

Table

Where Aston Villa and Coventry sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
8	Tottenham	29	0	12	2%
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	4%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	<1%
…
15	Fulham	29	−2	9	<1%
16	Coventry	29	−7	9	<1%
17	Man United	29	−5	7	2%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Aston VillaChampions League	CoventryRelegation
Now	4%	22%
Aston Villa win	, up 2 points6%	, up 5 points27%
Draw	, no change4%	, no change22%
Coventry win	, down 2 points2%	, down 7 points15%