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Aston Villa v Everton

  • Date

Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 48%, draw 26%, Everton win 26%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Aston Villa and Everton, against the league median
PositionAston Villa 9th, Everton 14th, league median 10.5th
PointsAston Villa 12, Everton 10, league median 11
Points, last 5Aston Villa 11, Everton 5, league median 8
OffenseAston Villa 1.44, Everton 1.24, league median 1.45
DefenseAston Villa 1.23, Everton 1.24, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsAston Villa 4%, Everton 1%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Aston Villa goals down, Everton goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Everton 0Everton 1Everton 2Everton 3Everton 4
Aston Villa 07%6%4%2%<1%
Aston Villa 19%13%7%3%1%
Aston Villa 28%9%5%2%1%
Aston Villa 34%5%3%1%<1%
Aston Villa 42%2%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Aston Villa and Everton sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
8Tottenham29012
9Aston Villa29−312
10Hull29+111
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultAston VillaChampions LeagueEvertonRelegation
Now4%14%
Aston Villa win, up 2 points6%, up 3 points17%
Draw, down 1 point3%, no change14%
Everton win, down 2 points2%, down 5 points9%