Aston Villa v Ipswich Town

Aston VillaAston Villa

10:00 AM ET

IpswichIpswich Town

3.5 goals expected, the most of any match this week.

• Date Saturday, January 30

Tale of the tape

	Aston Villa and Ipswich, against the league medianAston VillaIpswich
Position	Aston Villa 9th, Ipswich 13th, league median 10.5th9th13th
Points	Aston Villa 12, Ipswich 11, league median 111211
Points, last 5	Aston Villa 11, Ipswich 5, league median 8115
Offense	Aston Villa 1.44, Ipswich 1.48, league median 1.451.441.48
Defense	Aston Villa 1.23, Ipswich 1.69, league median 1.241.231.69
Champions League odds	Aston Villa 4%, Ipswich <1%, league median 2%4%<1%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Aston Villa goals down, Ipswich goals across. The most likely is 2–1 at 9%. The chance either side scores five or more is 8%.

		Ipswich goals
		Ipswich 0	Ipswich 1	Ipswich 2	Ipswich 3	Ipswich 4
Aston Villa goals	Aston Villa 0	4%	3%	3%	1%	<1%
	Aston Villa 1	6%	9%	6%	3%	1%
	Aston Villa 2	7%	9%	6%	3%	1%
	Aston Villa 3	5%	7%	5%	2%	1%
	Aston Villa 4	3%	4%	3%	1%	<1%

Table

Where Aston Villa and Ipswich sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
8	Tottenham	29	0	12	2%
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	4%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	<1%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	3%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	2%
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	<1%
14	Everton	30	−1	10	1%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Aston Villa	Ipswich
Now	3%	36%
Aston Villa win	, down 1 point2%	, up 5 points41%
Draw	, no change3%	, down 1 point35%
Ipswich win	, up 2 points5%	, down 10 points26%