Aston Villa v Leeds United
- Date
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 43%, draw 27%, Leeds win 30%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Aston Villa and Leeds, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Aston Villa 9th, Leeds 11th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Aston Villa 12, Leeds 11, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Aston Villa 11, Leeds 3, league median 8 |
| Offense | Aston Villa 1.44, Leeds 1.30, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Aston Villa 1.23, Leeds 1.13, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Aston Villa 4%, Leeds 3%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Leeds 0 | Leeds 1 | Leeds 2 | Leeds 3 | Leeds 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa 0 | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Aston Villa 1 | 9% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Aston Villa 2 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Aston Villa 3 | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Aston Villa 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 |
Odds by result
| Result | Aston VillaChampions League | LeedsRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 4% |
| Aston Villa win | , up 2 points6% | , up 2 points6% |
| Draw | , no change4% | , no change4% |
| Leeds win | , down 1 point3% | , down 2 points2% |