Aston Villa v Liverpool
Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 56%, a loss drops them to 41%.
- Date
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Aston Villa win 34%, draw 26%, Liverpool win 40%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Aston Villa and Liverpool, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Aston Villa 9th, Liverpool 5th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Aston Villa 12, Liverpool 15, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Aston Villa 11, Liverpool 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Aston Villa 1.44, Liverpool 1.66, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Aston Villa 1.23, Liverpool 1.08, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Aston Villa 4%, Liverpool 49%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Liverpool 0 | Liverpool 1 | Liverpool 2 | Liverpool 3 | Liverpool 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa 0 | 6% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Aston Villa 1 | 7% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | |
| Aston Villa 2 | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Aston Villa 3 | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | |
| Aston Villa 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 |
Champions League odds by result
| Result | Aston Villa | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 49% |
| Aston Villa win | , up 3 points7% | , down 8 points41% |
| Draw | , no change4% | , down 1 point48% |
| Liverpool win | , down 2 points2% | , up 7 points56% |