Aston Villa v Manchester United
- Date
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 41%, draw 26%, Man United win 33%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Aston Villa and Man United, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Aston Villa 9th, Man United 17th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Aston Villa 12, Man United 7, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Aston Villa 11, Man United 3, league median 8 |
| Offense | Aston Villa 1.44, Man United 1.55, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Aston Villa 1.23, Man United 1.25, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Aston Villa 4%, Man United 2%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Man United 0 | Man United 1 | Man United 2 | Man United 3 | Man United 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa 0 | 6% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Aston Villa 1 | 7% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | |
| Aston Villa 2 | 6% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Aston Villa 3 | 3% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| Aston Villa 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 |
Odds by result
| Result | Aston VillaChampions League | Man UnitedRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 8% |
| Aston Villa win | , up 2 points6% | , up 3 points11% |
| Draw | , down 1 point3% | , no change8% |
| Man United win | , down 1 point3% | , down 3 points5% |