Aston Villa v Newcastle United
- Date
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 47%, draw 25%, Newcastle win 28%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Aston Villa and Newcastle, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Aston Villa 9th, Newcastle 12th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Aston Villa 12, Newcastle 11, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Aston Villa 11, Newcastle 6, league median 8 |
| Offense | Aston Villa 1.44, Newcastle 1.46, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Aston Villa 1.23, Newcastle 1.36, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Aston Villa 4%, Newcastle 2%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Newcastle 0 | Newcastle 1 | Newcastle 2 | Newcastle 3 | Newcastle 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa 0 | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Aston Villa 1 | 7% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Aston Villa 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Aston Villa 3 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Aston Villa 4 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 |
Odds by result
| Result | Aston VillaChampions League | NewcastleRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 7% |
| Aston Villa win | , up 2 points6% | , up 3 points10% |
| Draw | , down 1 point3% | , no change7% |
| Newcastle win | , down 1 point3% | , down 3 points4% |