Aston Villa v Sunderland

Aston VillaAston Villa

10:00 AM ET

SunderlandSunderland

Aston Villa is 4 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 3%.

• Date Saturday, November 21

Tale of the tape

	Aston Villa and Sunderland, against the league medianAston VillaSunderland
Position	Aston Villa 9th, Sunderland 20th, league median 10.5th9th20th
Points	Aston Villa 12, Sunderland 5, league median 11125
Points, last 5	Aston Villa 11, Sunderland 1, league median 8111
Offense	Aston Villa 1.44, Sunderland 1.17, league median 1.451.441.17
Defense	Aston Villa 1.23, Sunderland 1.31, league median 1.241.231.31
Champions League odds	Aston Villa 4%, Sunderland <1%, league median 2%4%<1%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Aston Villa goals down, Sunderland goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.

		Sunderland goals
		Sunderland 0	Sunderland 1	Sunderland 2	Sunderland 3	Sunderland 4
Aston Villa goals	Aston Villa 0	7%	6%	4%	1%	<1%
	Aston Villa 1	10%	12%	6%	2%	1%
	Aston Villa 2	9%	10%	5%	2%	1%
	Aston Villa 3	5%	6%	3%	1%	<1%
	Aston Villa 4	2%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Aston Villa and Sunderland sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
8	Tottenham	29	0	12	2%
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	4%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	<1%
…
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	<1%
20	Sunderland	29	−10	5	<1%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Aston Villa	Sunderland
Now	3%	55%
Aston Villa win	, down 1 point2%	, up 5 points60%
Draw	, down 1 point2%	, up 2 points57%
Sunderland win	, up 2 points5%	, down 12 points43%