AFC Bournemouth v Arsenal
Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 33%, a loss to 21%.
- Date
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Bournemouth win 27%, draw 28%, Arsenal win 45%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Bournemouth and Arsenal, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Bournemouth 7th, Arsenal 1st, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Bournemouth 12, Arsenal 24, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Bournemouth 9, Arsenal 12, league median 8 |
| Offense | Bournemouth 1.67, Arsenal 1.79, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Bournemouth 1.11, Arsenal 0.73, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Bournemouth 26%, Arsenal >99%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Arsenal 0 | Arsenal 1 | Arsenal 2 | Arsenal 3 | Arsenal 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth 0 | 8% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Bournemouth 1 | 7% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Bournemouth 2 | 5% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Bournemouth 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 |
Odds by result
| Result | BournemouthChampions League | ArsenalTitle |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 26% | 80% |
| Bournemouth win | , up 7 points33% | , down 6 points74% |
| Draw | , down 2 points24% | , no change80% |
| Arsenal win | , down 5 points21% | , up 5 points85% |