AFC Bournemouth v Aston Villa
Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 31%, a loss to 18%.
- Date
Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Bournemouth win 52%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 24%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Bournemouth and Aston Villa, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Bournemouth 7th, Aston Villa 9th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Bournemouth 12, Aston Villa 12, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Bournemouth 9, Aston Villa 11, league median 8 |
| Offense | Bournemouth 1.67, Aston Villa 1.44, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Bournemouth 1.11, Aston Villa 1.23, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Bournemouth 26%, Aston Villa 4%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Aston Villa 0 | Aston Villa 1 | Aston Villa 2 | Aston Villa 3 | Aston Villa 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth 0 | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Bournemouth 1 | 8% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 3 | 5% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Bournemouth 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 |
Champions League odds by result
| Result | Bournemouth | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 26% | 4% |
| Bournemouth win | , up 5 points31% | , down 1 point3% |
| Draw | , down 4 points22% | , no change4% |
| Aston Villa win | , down 8 points18% | , up 3 points7% |