AFC Bournemouth v Brighton & Hove Albion
Must watchRated 46 of 100 on quality and stakes, top 10% of past matches rated as far ahead.
Bournemouth is the favorite despite sitting 4 places below Brighton.
- Date
Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Bournemouth win 42%, draw 25%, Brighton win 33%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Bournemouth and Brighton, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Bournemouth 7th, Brighton 3rd, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Bournemouth 12, Brighton 19, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Bournemouth 9, Brighton 12, league median 8 |
| Offense | Bournemouth 1.67, Brighton 1.74, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Bournemouth 1.11, Brighton 1.09, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Bournemouth 26%, Brighton 79%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Brighton 0 | Brighton 1 | Brighton 2 | Brighton 3 | Brighton 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth 0 | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 1 | 7% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 2 | 6% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 |
Champions League odds by result
| Result | Bournemouth | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 26% | 79% |
| Bournemouth win | , up 6 points32% | , down 7 points72% |
| Draw | , down 2 points24% | , no change79% |
| Brighton win | , down 8 points18% | , up 7 points86% |