AFC Bournemouth v Chelsea
Bournemouth is the favorite despite sitting 3 places below Chelsea.
- Date
Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Bournemouth win 49%, draw 24%, Chelsea win 27%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Bournemouth and Chelsea, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Bournemouth 7th, Chelsea 4th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Bournemouth 12, Chelsea 16, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Bournemouth 9, Chelsea 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Bournemouth 1.67, Chelsea 1.69, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Bournemouth 1.11, Chelsea 1.28, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Bournemouth 26%, Chelsea 28%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Chelsea 0 | Chelsea 1 | Chelsea 2 | Chelsea 3 | Chelsea 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth 0 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 1 | 6% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 2 | 7% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 3 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 |
Champions League odds by result
| Result | Bournemouth | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 26% | 28% |
| Bournemouth win | , up 4 points30% | , down 5 points23% |
| Draw | , down 4 points22% | , down 1 point27% |
| Chelsea win | , down 6 points20% | , up 9 points37% |