AFC Bournemouth v Crystal Palace
Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 29%, a loss to 17%.
- Date
Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Bournemouth win 64%, draw 20%, Crystal Palace win 16%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Bournemouth and Crystal Palace, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Bournemouth 7th, Crystal Palace 18th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Bournemouth 12, Crystal Palace 7, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Bournemouth 9, Crystal Palace 4, league median 8 |
| Offense | Bournemouth 1.67, Crystal Palace 1.33, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Bournemouth 1.11, Crystal Palace 1.55, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Bournemouth 26%, Crystal Palace <1%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Crystal Palace 0 | Crystal Palace 1 | Crystal Palace 2 | Crystal Palace 3 | Crystal Palace 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth 0 | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Bournemouth 1 | 7% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
| Bournemouth 2 | 9% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 3 | 7% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | |
| Bournemouth 4 | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 |
Odds by result
| Result | BournemouthChampions League | Crystal PalaceRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 26% | 61% |
| Bournemouth win | , up 3 points29% | , up 3 points64% |
| Draw | , down 6 points20% | , down 1 point60% |
| Crystal Palace win | , down 9 points17% | , down 13 points48% |