AFC Bournemouth v Ipswich Town
High scoring28% more goals than an average match, top 10% of past matches rated as far ahead.
3.8 goals expected, 28% more than an average match; Bournemouth is the week's heaviest favorite.
- Date
Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Bournemouth win 66%, draw 18%, Ipswich win 16%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Bournemouth and Ipswich, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Bournemouth 7th, Ipswich 13th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Bournemouth 12, Ipswich 11, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Bournemouth 9, Ipswich 5, league median 8 |
| Offense | Bournemouth 1.67, Ipswich 1.48, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Bournemouth 1.11, Ipswich 1.69, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Bournemouth 26%, Ipswich <1%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Ipswich 0 | Ipswich 1 | Ipswich 2 | Ipswich 3 | Ipswich 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth 0 | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Bournemouth 1 | 5% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 3 | 6% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 4 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 |
Odds by result
| Result | BournemouthChampions League | IpswichRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 26% | 36% |
| Bournemouth win | , up 3 points29% | , up 3 points39% |
| Draw | , down 6 points20% | , down 2 points34% |
| Ipswich win | , down 10 points16% | , down 11 points25% |