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AFC Bournemouth v Manchester City

The closest match of the week.

  • Date

Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Bournemouth win 38%, draw 25%, Man City win 37%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Bournemouth and Man City, against the league median
PositionBournemouth 7th, Man City 2nd, league median 10.5th
PointsBournemouth 12, Man City 21, league median 11
Points, last 5Bournemouth 9, Man City 9, league median 8
OffenseBournemouth 1.67, Man City 1.88, league median 1.45
DefenseBournemouth 1.11, Man City 1.06, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsBournemouth 26%, Man City 90%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Bournemouth goals down, Man City goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.
Man City 0Man City 1Man City 2Man City 3Man City 4
Bournemouth 05%6%5%3%1%
Bournemouth 16%11%8%4%2%
Bournemouth 25%8%7%3%1%
Bournemouth 33%5%4%2%1%
Bournemouth 41%2%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Bournemouth and Man City sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112
8Tottenham29012

Full table

Champions League odds by result

Each team's Champions League odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultBournemouthMan City
Now26%90%
Bournemouth win, up 7 points33%, down 3 points87%
Draw, down 2 points24%, no change90%
Man City win, down 7 points19%, up 4 points94%