AFC Bournemouth v Newcastle United

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

10:00 AM ET

NewcastleNewcastle United

Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 30%, a loss to 18%.

• Date Saturday, March 13

Tale of the tape

	Bournemouth and Newcastle, against the league medianBournemouthNewcastle
Position	Bournemouth 7th, Newcastle 12th, league median 10.5th7th12th
Points	Bournemouth 12, Newcastle 11, league median 111211
Points, last 5	Bournemouth 9, Newcastle 6, league median 896
Offense	Bournemouth 1.67, Newcastle 1.46, league median 1.451.671.46
Defense	Bournemouth 1.11, Newcastle 1.36, league median 1.241.111.36
Champions League odds	Bournemouth 26%, Newcastle 2%, league median 2%26%2%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Bournemouth goals down, Newcastle goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 10%. The chance either side scores five or more is 7%.

		Newcastle goals
		Newcastle 0	Newcastle 1	Newcastle 2	Newcastle 3	Newcastle 4
Bournemouth goals	Bournemouth 0	5%	4%	3%	1%	<1%
	Bournemouth 1	7%	10%	6%	2%	1%
	Bournemouth 2	8%	10%	6%	2%	1%
	Bournemouth 3	6%	7%	4%	2%	<1%
	Bournemouth 4	3%	3%	2%	1%	<1%

Table

Where Bournemouth and Newcastle sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
6	Brentford	29	+7	14	15%
7	Bournemouth	29	+1	12	26%
8	Tottenham	29	0	12	2%
…
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	3%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	2%
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	<1%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	BournemouthChampions League	NewcastleRelegation
Now	26%	7%
Bournemouth win	, up 4 points30%	, up 2 points9%
Draw	, down 5 points21%	, down 1 point6%
Newcastle win	, down 8 points18%	, down 3 points4%