AFC Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 30%, a loss to 19%.
- Date
Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Bournemouth win 55%, draw 24%, Nott'm Forest win 21%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Bournemouth and Nott'm Forest, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Bournemouth 7th, Nott'm Forest 19th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Bournemouth 12, Nott'm Forest 6, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Bournemouth 9, Nott'm Forest 1, league median 8 |
| Offense | Bournemouth 1.67, Nott'm Forest 1.28, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Bournemouth 1.11, Nott'm Forest 1.23, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Bournemouth 26%, Nott'm Forest <1%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Nott'm Forest 0 | Nott'm Forest 1 | Nott'm Forest 2 | Nott'm Forest 3 | Nott'm Forest 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth 0 | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Bournemouth 1 | 9% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Bournemouth 2 | 9% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
| Bournemouth 3 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Bournemouth 4 | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Odds by result
| Result | BournemouthChampions League | Nott'm ForestRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 26% | 29% |
| Bournemouth win | , up 4 points30% | , up 4 points33% |
| Draw | , down 4 points22% | , down 2 points27% |
| Nott'm Forest win | , down 7 points19% | , down 10 points19% |