Brentford v Arsenal
Top qualityQuality 61 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.
Arsenal is 1st by rating, Brentford 7th; Brentford is 2 points out with 29 to play.
- Date
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Brentford win 23%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 51%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Brentford and Arsenal, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Brentford 6th, Arsenal 1st, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Brentford 14, Arsenal 24, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Brentford 8, Arsenal 12, league median 8 |
| Offense | Brentford 1.63, Arsenal 1.79, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Brentford 1.25, Arsenal 0.73, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Brentford 15%, Arsenal >99%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Arsenal 0 | Arsenal 1 | Arsenal 2 | Arsenal 3 | Arsenal 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford 0 | 7% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Brentford 1 | 6% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 2% | |
| Brentford 2 | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Brentford 3 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Brentford 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 |
Odds by result
| Result | BrentfordChampions League | ArsenalTitle |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 15% | 80% |
| Brentford win | , up 8 points23% | , down 5 points75% |
| Draw | , no change15% | , down 2 points78% |
| Arsenal win | , down 3 points12% | , up 4 points84% |