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Brentford v Aston Villa

  • Date

Win chances: Brentford favored. Brentford win 48%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 28%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Brentford and Aston Villa, against the league median
PositionBrentford 6th, Aston Villa 9th, league median 10.5th
PointsBrentford 14, Aston Villa 12, league median 11
Points, last 5Brentford 8, Aston Villa 11, league median 8
OffenseBrentford 1.63, Aston Villa 1.44, league median 1.45
DefenseBrentford 1.25, Aston Villa 1.23, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsBrentford 15%, Aston Villa 4%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Brentford goals down, Aston Villa goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 5%.
Aston Villa 0Aston Villa 1Aston Villa 2Aston Villa 3Aston Villa 4
Brentford 05%5%4%2%1%
Brentford 17%11%7%3%1%
Brentford 27%9%6%3%1%
Brentford 34%6%4%2%1%
Brentford 42%3%2%1%<1%

Table

Where Brentford and Aston Villa sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
5Liverpool29+215
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112
8Tottenham29012
9Aston Villa29−312
10Hull29+111

Full table

Champions League odds by result

Each team's Champions League odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultBrentfordAston Villa
Now15%4%
Brentford win, up 5 points20%, down 1 point3%
Draw, down 2 points13%, no change4%
Aston Villa win, down 5 points10%, up 3 points7%