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Brentford v Brighton & Hove Albion

Home field evens it against Brighton, 3rd by rating; the closest match of the week.

  • Date

Win chances: Brighton favored. Brentford win 37%, draw 25%, Brighton win 38%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Brentford and Brighton, against the league median
PositionBrentford 6th, Brighton 3rd, league median 10.5th
PointsBrentford 14, Brighton 19, league median 11
Points, last 5Brentford 8, Brighton 12, league median 8
OffenseBrentford 1.63, Brighton 1.74, league median 1.45
DefenseBrentford 1.25, Brighton 1.09, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsBrentford 15%, Brighton 79%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Brentford goals down, Brighton goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 5%.
Brighton 0Brighton 1Brighton 2Brighton 3Brighton 4
Brentford 05%6%5%3%1%
Brentford 16%11%8%5%2%
Brentford 25%8%7%4%1%
Brentford 33%4%4%2%1%
Brentford 41%2%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Brentford and Brighton sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
4Chelsea29+416
5Liverpool29+215
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112

Full table

Champions League odds by result

Each team's Champions League odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultBrentfordBrighton
Now15%79%
Brentford win, up 6 points21%, down 6 points73%
Draw, no change15%, down 2 points77%
Brighton win, down 5 points10%, up 6 points85%