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Brentford v Crystal Palace

Brentford is 2 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 19%, a loss drops them to 9%.

  • Date

Win chances: Brentford favored. Brentford win 60%, draw 21%, Crystal Palace win 19%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Brentford and Crystal Palace, against the league median
PositionBrentford 6th, Crystal Palace 18th, league median 10.5th
PointsBrentford 14, Crystal Palace 7, league median 11
Points, last 5Brentford 8, Crystal Palace 4, league median 8
OffenseBrentford 1.63, Crystal Palace 1.33, league median 1.45
DefenseBrentford 1.25, Crystal Palace 1.55, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsBrentford 15%, Crystal Palace <1%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Brentford goals down, Crystal Palace goals across. The most likely is 2–1 at 10%. The chance either side scores five or more is 9%.
Crystal Palace 0Crystal Palace 1Crystal Palace 2Crystal Palace 3Crystal Palace 4
Brentford 04%3%2%1%<1%
Brentford 16%9%5%2%1%
Brentford 28%10%6%2%1%
Brentford 36%7%5%2%1%
Brentford 43%4%3%1%<1%

Table

Where Brentford and Crystal Palace sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
5Liverpool29+215
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112
17Man United29−57
18Crystal Palace29−127
19Nott'm Forest29−66

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultBrentfordChampions LeagueCrystal PalaceRelegation
Now15%61%
Brentford win, up 4 points19%, up 4 points65%
Draw, down 3 points12%, no change61%
Crystal Palace win, down 6 points9%, down 11 points50%