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Brentford v Manchester City

Man City is 2nd by rating, Brentford 7th; Brentford is 2 points out with 29 to play.

  • Date

Win chances: Man City favored. Brentford win 34%, draw 24%, Man City win 42%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Brentford and Man City, against the league median
PositionBrentford 6th, Man City 2nd, league median 10.5th
PointsBrentford 14, Man City 21, league median 11
Points, last 5Brentford 8, Man City 9, league median 8
OffenseBrentford 1.63, Man City 1.88, league median 1.45
DefenseBrentford 1.25, Man City 1.06, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsBrentford 15%, Man City 90%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Brentford goals down, Man City goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 5%.
Man City 0Man City 1Man City 2Man City 3Man City 4
Brentford 04%6%6%3%1%
Brentford 15%11%9%5%2%
Brentford 24%8%7%4%2%
Brentford 32%4%4%2%1%
Brentford 41%2%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Brentford and Man City sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
4Chelsea29+416
5Liverpool29+215
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112

Full table

Champions League odds by result

Each team's Champions League odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultBrentfordMan City
Now15%90%
Brentford win, up 7 points22%, down 4 points86%
Draw, down 1 point14%, no change90%
Man City win, down 4 points11%, up 4 points94%