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Brentford v Newcastle United

  • Date

Win chances: Brentford favored. Brentford win 52%, draw 23%, Newcastle win 25%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Brentford and Newcastle, against the league median
PositionBrentford 6th, Newcastle 12th, league median 10.5th
PointsBrentford 14, Newcastle 11, league median 11
Points, last 5Brentford 8, Newcastle 6, league median 8
OffenseBrentford 1.63, Newcastle 1.46, league median 1.45
DefenseBrentford 1.25, Newcastle 1.36, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsBrentford 15%, Newcastle 2%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Brentford goals down, Newcastle goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 10%. The chance either side scores five or more is 7%.
Newcastle 0Newcastle 1Newcastle 2Newcastle 3Newcastle 4
Brentford 04%4%3%1%1%
Brentford 16%10%6%3%1%
Brentford 27%9%6%3%1%
Brentford 35%6%4%2%1%
Brentford 42%3%2%1%<1%

Table

Where Brentford and Newcastle sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
5Liverpool29+215
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112
11Leeds29+111
12Newcastle30−211
13Ipswich29−411

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultBrentfordChampions LeagueNewcastleRelegation
Now15%7%
Brentford win, up 4 points19%, up 2 points9%
Draw, down 1 point14%, no change7%
Newcastle win, down 5 points10%, down 3 points4%