Brighton & Hove Albion v AFC Bournemouth
Must watchRated 46 of 100 on quality and stakes, top 10% of past matches rated as far ahead.
Both need this for the top four; a win lifts Brighton to 84%, Bournemouth to 34%.
- Date
Win chances: Brighton favored. Brighton win 46%, draw 25%, Bournemouth win 29%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Brighton and Bournemouth, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Brighton 3rd, Bournemouth 7th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Brighton 19, Bournemouth 12, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Brighton 12, Bournemouth 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Brighton 1.74, Bournemouth 1.67, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Brighton 1.09, Bournemouth 1.11, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Brighton 79%, Bournemouth 26%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Bournemouth 0 | Bournemouth 1 | Bournemouth 2 | Bournemouth 3 | Bournemouth 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton 0 | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Brighton 1 | 7% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Brighton 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Brighton 3 | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Brighton 4 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 |
Champions League odds by result
| Result | Brighton | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 79% | 26% |
| Brighton win | , up 5 points84% | , down 6 points20% |
| Draw | , down 2 points77% | , down 1 point25% |
| Bournemouth win | , down 7 points72% | , up 8 points34% |