Brighton & Hove Albion v Chelsea
Both need this for the top four; a win lifts Brighton to 84%, Chelsea to 37%.
- Date
Win chances: Brighton favored. Brighton win 51%, draw 23%, Chelsea win 26%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Brighton and Chelsea, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Brighton 3rd, Chelsea 4th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Brighton 19, Chelsea 16, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Brighton 12, Chelsea 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Brighton 1.74, Chelsea 1.69, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Brighton 1.09, Chelsea 1.28, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Brighton 79%, Chelsea 28%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Chelsea 0 | Chelsea 1 | Chelsea 2 | Chelsea 3 | Chelsea 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton 0 | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | |
| Brighton 1 | 6% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Brighton 2 | 7% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Brighton 3 | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Brighton 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 |
Champions League odds by result
| Result | Brighton | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 79% | 28% |
| Brighton win | , up 5 points84% | , down 5 points23% |
| Draw | , down 3 points76% | , no change28% |
| Chelsea win | , down 9 points70% | , up 9 points37% |