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Brighton & Hove Albion v Everton

Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 82%, a loss to 72%.

  • Date

Win chances: Brighton favored. Brighton win 59%, draw 23%, Everton win 18%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Brighton and Everton, against the league median
PositionBrighton 3rd, Everton 14th, league median 10.5th
PointsBrighton 19, Everton 10, league median 11
Points, last 5Brighton 12, Everton 5, league median 8
OffenseBrighton 1.74, Everton 1.24, league median 1.45
DefenseBrighton 1.09, Everton 1.24, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsBrighton 79%, Everton 1%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Brighton goals down, Everton goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 5%.
Everton 0Everton 1Everton 2Everton 3Everton 4
Brighton 06%4%3%1%<1%
Brighton 19%11%5%2%<1%
Brighton 210%10%5%2%<1%
Brighton 36%6%3%1%<1%
Brighton 43%3%2%1%<1%

Table

Where Brighton and Everton sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
4Chelsea29+416
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultBrightonChampions LeagueEvertonRelegation
Now79%14%
Brighton win, up 3 points82%, up 2 points16%
Draw, down 4 points75%, no change14%
Everton win, down 7 points72%, down 4 points10%