Brighton & Hove Albion v Ipswich Town

BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion

10:00 AM ET

High scoringHigh scoring31% more goals than an average match, top 10% of past matches rated as far ahead.

IpswichIpswich Town

3.9 goals expected, 31% more than an average match; Brighton is the week's heaviest favorite.

• Date Saturday, December 19

Tale of the tape

	Brighton and Ipswich, against the league medianBrightonIpswich
Position	Brighton 3rd, Ipswich 13th, league median 10.5th3rd13th
Points	Brighton 19, Ipswich 11, league median 111911
Points, last 5	Brighton 12, Ipswich 5, league median 8125
Offense	Brighton 1.74, Ipswich 1.48, league median 1.451.741.48
Defense	Brighton 1.09, Ipswich 1.69, league median 1.241.091.69
Champions League odds	Brighton 79%, Ipswich <1%, league median 2%79%<1%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Brighton goals down, Ipswich goals across. The most likely is 2–1 at 9%. The chance either side scores five or more is 14%.

		Ipswich goals
		Ipswich 0	Ipswich 1	Ipswich 2	Ipswich 3	Ipswich 4
Brighton goals	Brighton 0	3%	2%	2%	1%	<1%
	Brighton 1	5%	7%	4%	2%	<1%
	Brighton 2	7%	9%	5%	2%	1%
	Brighton 3	7%	8%	5%	2%	1%
	Brighton 4	4%	5%	3%	1%	<1%

Table

Where Brighton and Ipswich sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
2	Man City	29	+10	21	90%
3	Brighton	29	+17	19	79%
4	Chelsea	29	+4	16	28%
…
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	2%
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	<1%
14	Everton	30	−1	10	1%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	BrightonChampions League	IpswichRelegation
Now	79%	36%
Brighton win	, up 2 points81%	, up 4 points40%
Draw	, down 5 points74%	, down 3 points33%
Ipswich win	, down 8 points71%	, down 11 points25%