Brighton & Hove Albion v Liverpool
3rd meets 5th across the top four line; the winner climbs to at least 60%.
- Date
Win chances: Brighton favored. Brighton win 45%, draw 25%, Liverpool win 30%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Brighton and Liverpool, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Brighton 3rd, Liverpool 5th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Brighton 19, Liverpool 15, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Brighton 12, Liverpool 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Brighton 1.74, Liverpool 1.66, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Brighton 1.09, Liverpool 1.08, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Brighton 79%, Liverpool 49%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Liverpool 0 | Liverpool 1 | Liverpool 2 | Liverpool 3 | Liverpool 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton 0 | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Brighton 1 | 7% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Brighton 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Brighton 3 | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Brighton 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 |
Champions League odds by result
| Result | Brighton | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 79% | 49% |
| Brighton win | , up 6 points85% | , down 7 points42% |
| Draw | , down 2 points77% | , down 3 points46% |
| Liverpool win | , down 8 points71% | , up 11 points60% |