Brighton & Hove Albion v Manchester City
Must watchRated 46 of 100 on quality and stakes, top 10% of past matches rated as far ahead.
Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 85%, a loss to 72%.
- Date
Win chances: Brighton favored. Brighton win 40%, draw 25%, Man City win 35%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Brighton and Man City, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Brighton 3rd, Man City 2nd, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Brighton 19, Man City 21, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Brighton 12, Man City 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Brighton 1.74, Man City 1.88, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Brighton 1.09, Man City 1.06, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Brighton 79%, Man City 90%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Man City 0 | Man City 1 | Man City 2 | Man City 3 | Man City 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton 0 | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Brighton 1 | 6% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Brighton 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Brighton 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Brighton 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 |
Champions League odds by result
| Result | Brighton | Man City |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 79% | 90% |
| Brighton win | , up 6 points85% | , down 3 points87% |
| Draw | , down 2 points77% | , no change90% |
| Man City win | , down 7 points72% | , up 4 points94% |